Saturday, October 11, 2008

The odds are on the right side

fivethirtyeight.com has Obama at 90.9% for the second straight day, which is deliciously higher than the 90% McCain gets for winning his home state.

Intrade, which famously predicted all 50 states correctly in 2004, has Obama at
I think I got all the swing states. You have to like these odds! Bettors really think that West Virginia is in play?!?! Incidentally, Intrade's state betting odds seem much more reasonable (and consistent with Nate's predictions) than Intrade's Presidential betting odds, which are currently 77.1 Obama.

3 comments:

Unknown said...

the right side? don't you mean the left side?

JGJ said...

so, intrade has Obama with Kerry states+CO+NM+NV+VA+OH=WEEEEEEEE!!!!

Dave said...

I don't know what to do with such a positive outlook. It's almost scary.