"Which candidate will benefit more from the second Presidential Debate? Barack Obama's Intrade value will increase more than John McCain's following the 2nd Pres. Debate"
It isn't just the pundits who are out of touch on debates. For most of the day, the bet was priced around 60 or so (it wasn't 50 presumably because the market thought that Obama was probably more likely to benefit from the debate, but McCain would benefit more if he performed well), but fell during the debate to 45 or lower. You can see that the price skyrocketed when the networks starting proclaiming a winner.
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