
Intrade also has Romney at about 59.4% for Florida at the end of the month, down from 95% on Thursday. I still think that Romney will win the nomination, but, with at least five general election swing states (Florida, Nevada, Colorado, Michigan, and Missouri) up before Super Tuesday, it will be interesting.
6 comments:
George wins the best-graphic prize for that plummeting elephant.
This primary is so much more interesting than I expected it to be. I do still think Romney will be the nominee, but until Gingrich and company inflict some serious damage.
I second Bridget's nomination for best graphic prize. George might have wrapped it up very early in the election cycle.
So, GOP voters really don't want to vote for Romney, do they? I can't believe that they've come around to Gingrich again. Expect Herman Cain and Rick Perry to re-enter the race.
The primary is super interesting. And, I have to think that it's going to get even uglier in the next couple weeks as Romney's PACs double-down on the Gingrich attacks.
welcome back, george. your posts are always a welcome reality check.
The Intrade freefall continues. Newt is now a 3-2 favorite to win Florida, and Intrade has Romney at 62.0% for getting the nomination. Newt is at 28%, but where's the other 10%. Paul at 3%? Seriously? Mitch Daniels at 1.3%? Huh?
George not only added the best graphic so far but also raised the bar for comments by including hyperlinks. That requires manual HTML tagging! The gauntlet has been thrown.
Slate's analysis includes the interesting tidbit that conservative, Evangelical, so-called-"values" voters were unswayed by Gingrich's well-publicized peccadilloes. Maybe that's because Southern Christian conservatives are used to hypocritical leaders but I think it really means that they are more creeped out by Mormonism than concerned about marital infidelity.
Yes, manual hyperlinks! I'll hold off on the Java code for a few days. It's worth looking at Dan Savage's New York Times commentary on the reaction to Newt's open marriage suggestion. "The lesson in Gingrich’s angry denial and the applause that greeted it: An honest open relationship is more scandalous, and more politically damaging, than a dishonest adulterous relationship."
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