Nate's final Senate simulations give the Democrats 57.1 seats and the Republicans 40.9 seats. Franken is a slight favorite (52%), North Carolina and Oregon are likely (88% and 92%, respectively), and Alaska is now safe for Begich. On the other side, it seems unlikely that we will take Georgia, Kentucky, or Mississippi (12%, 8%, and 6%, respectively).
Intrade has Obama at 93.7, the highest yet. That's not quite as high as Nate's 98.1 (subject to update of course), but that's about as close to 100 as Intrade odds get (for comparison, Obama winning Maryland is at 95.6). Remember: Intrade got all 50 states right in 2004. By the way, Intrade is giving the chance of California's Proposition 8 passing at 35%. Yikes!
And I found this plot of Bush's approval ratings on Andrew Sullivan's blog. If voters make any connection between McCain and Bush, this thing is over.
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