Tuesday, November 4, 2008

Nate's last numbers: 98.9!

Nate has updated his numbers. 98.9! That makes Obama almost a 90-1 favorite to win. No writeup yet...

UPDATE: Nate's writeup is up.

This race appears to have stabilized as of about the time of the second debate in Nashville, Tennessee on October 8th. Since that time, Obama has maintained a national lead of between 6 and 8 points, with little discernible momentum for either candidate. Just as noteworthy is the fact that the number of undecided voters is now very small, representing not much more than 2-3 percent of the electorate. Undecided voters who committed over the past several weeks appear to have broken roughly equally between the two candidates.

2 comments:

JGJ said...

So, Geo, is it time to go all-in on McCain with InTrade? I've got 12 bucks just burning a hole in my pocket.

George said...

I've already gone all-in on Bob Barr. If you're going to play, then you should go for it!