Thursday, October 30, 2008

The Polls and Such

Responding to e-mails concerned about the stories on the polls tightening, Nate says, "Man, I thought I trained you guys better than this." Writing about the polls, Nate still feels like Obama's in good shape. And, after the tighter polls from Rasmussen and Fox came out, CBS/NYT released one with Barack up 11%. The best explanation I've seen is that McCain's numbers are coming up a bit, but Barack's aren't falling as the undecideds get off the fence. As Salon asks, "Was he [McCain] really only going to get 39% of the vote?"

That said, I'm watching Rachel Maddow right now and she's reporting about more voter suppression efforts in Colorado and voting machines in West Virginia flipping votes for Barack to McCain. Of course, in both states, the Secretary of State is Republican. Considering everything that's happened in every major election since 2000, it seems safe to assume that the GOP is again trying to monkey with the vote. Disgusting.

Of course, the most nefarious schemes can't alter the enthusiasm gap. As I'm sure you saw today, McCain not only can't even get Joe the Plumber to show up at his rallies, but his campaign had to bus in 4,000 schoolkids to get his audience up to 6,000 attendees.

2 comments:

Unknown said...

but but... CBS leans Dem (by 3-4 pts) and Rasmussen is considered very reliable. The general consensus is that Obama is solidly up by 6 pts and that that is too wide of a gap for McCain to make up in less than 6 days. However, my concern is not so much whether Obama wins but by how much. I want a mandate and nothing less.

Bridget said...

TPM has a great comment about liberals who are freaking out about the polls:

It's a Sickness
There should be a support group for all those beleaguered progressives who over the years anxiously awaited elections in the futile hope that the polls showing their candidate behind would turn out to be wrong -- but who this year are fretting just as much that the polls showing their candidate ahead are wrong.