Sunday, September 28, 2008

Sunday Polls

Kos Daily Tracking Poll 9/28

Today's Daily Kos Research 2000 tracking poll has Obama up over McCain 50-43. All trackers are data from three days prior to posting, with R2K from today (yesterday) and the others from yesterday. Trackers will start to reflect Friday's debate performance today, but fully reflect it Tuesday.

Obama McCain MoE +/- RV/LV
Today
Research 2000: 50 (49) 43 (43) 3 LV
Rasmussen: 50 (50) 44 (44) 2 LV

Yesterday
Diageo/Hotline: 48 (49) 43 (42) 3.2 RV
Gallup: 49 (48) 44 (45) 2 RV

Yesterday's polling, the first after the debate, was the strongest Obama day picked up by the R2K tracking poll. He led 51-42, and therefore, Obama had a +9 on Sa to go with +5 Th, +7 Fri (MoE +/- 5.1 for individual days.) Sarah Palin's fav/unfav are now -10 (40/50), and Obama is +27 (his improvement is via dropping his unfav to 32.)

Let's include the winner-take-all markets today (with caveats):

Intrade Obama 57.3 McCain 42.0
Rasmussen Obama 57.3 McCain 41.7
Iowa Electronic Market Obama 63.7 McCain 35.9

These all represent improvement from last week, when Obama led ~52-48.

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