Tuesday, September 16, 2008

Morning Coffee

From one of my favorite columnists, E.J. Dionne. The campaign should take a major turn this week (Chuck Todd said the same thing last night).

www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/09/15/AR2008091502472.html?hpid=opinionsbox1


New poll numbers from Kos:

Today's results, coming on the heels of yesterday's Wall Street meltdown, show Obama at 48 and McCain at 44. Sarah Palin's fav/unfav continue slide (45/44 today, 52/35 on 9/11), and (I suspect) the economics issue pushes the culture war to the back burner.

Speaking of economics, keep an eye in the coming days on the 30-44 year olds. This cohort has been trending McCain, but jobs and the economy are going to get their attention. And, watch also the women demo, currently +12 for Obama. Watch them all, as trends tend to filter down everywhere.

It will take a bit of time to filter this week's events down to state level (where it counts), but the regional breakdowns continue to suggest McCain runs better in the South than elsewhere. Obama is currently +9 in the midwest.

love this comment on kos: I didnt have to spend a lot of time rationlizing that the polls must be wrong this morning.

3 comments:

JGJ said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
JGJ said...

Certainly with all eyes (and ears) on the economy, this is Obama's chance to make a substantial move.

He'll be in Colorado today, and it would be good to hear him link Phil Gramm's ideas to this problem, and remind people that he is McCain's Econ-guy, and that he called us a nation of whiners. And that McCain called the fundamentals of the economy strong, natch.

But, more than that, Obama needs to suggest some detailed responses to the crisis (and, methinks, point out that the government cannot always come running to bail out failed companies...).

more on the polls in a second.

Unknown said...

i'm watching the speech right now. he's nailing mccain and bush pretty hard. we'll see how he does putting forth his own policies.